Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001059 0.001203 0.001348 0.001504 0.001666 0.001830 0.002007
2025-11-23 0.000834 0.001042 0.001258 0.001496 0.001749 0.002010 0.002296
2025-11-30 0.000702 0.000961 0.001237 0.001549 0.001886 0.002238 0.002630
2025-12-07 0.000553 0.000845 0.001167 0.001539 0.001950 0.002383 0.002870
2025-12-14 0.000413 0.000724 0.001081 0.001503 0.001977 0.002483 0.003058
2025-12-21 0.000334 0.000665 0.001058 0.001533 0.002072 0.002654 0.003318
2025-12-28 0.000237 0.000571 0.000987 0.001502 0.002095 0.002741 0.003484
2026-01-04 0.000173 0.000511 0.000951 0.001506 0.002154 0.002866 0.003688
2026-01-11 0.000114 0.000445 0.000902 0.001491 0.002188 0.002959 0.003856
2026-01-18 0.000068 0.000388 0.000859 0.001481 0.002224 0.003053 0.004021
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000307 0.000776 0.001416 0.002194 0.003069 0.004098
2026-02-01 0.000003 0.000259 0.000735 0.001401 0.002220 0.003147 0.004242
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000205 0.000691 0.001395 0.002276 0.003280 0.004473
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000158 0.000651 0.001394 0.002337 0.003422 0.004716
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000139 0.000654 0.001450 0.002468 0.003644 0.005051
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000099 0.000613 0.001444 0.002522 0.003777 0.005284
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000057 0.000555 0.001410 0.002540 0.003866 0.005468
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000041 0.000544 0.001440 0.002636 0.004046 0.005752
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000015 0.000493 0.001411 0.002655 0.004133 0.005930
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000004 0.000468 0.001415 0.002716 0.004269 0.006162
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000432 0.001401 0.002751 0.004372 0.006356
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000401 0.001391 0.002790 0.004479 0.006552
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000339 0.001328 0.002758 0.004499 0.006646